World Employment and Social Outlook: Trends 2025

ILO · January 2025 · The global jobs picture
Publisher
International Labour Organization (ILO), Geneva; prepared by the Macroeconomic Policies and Jobs Unit of the ILO Research Department
Edition
The 2025 edition of the ILO’s annual Trends flagship, published January 2025
Focus
The state of global labour markets and decent work, and what a low headline unemployment rate hides about informality, working poverty and youth
Related
Future of Jobs Report 2025, the WEF companion on how work itself is changing

The ILO’s Trends report is the reference scorecard for SDG 8, decent work and economic growth. The 2025 edition opens on a paradox: global unemployment is at a historic low of 5 per cent, yet employment growth is too weak to close the decent work gaps that matter most, and progress against the 2030 targets has essentially stalled since 2015.

The headline

Global employment kept pace with a growing labour force in 2024, holding the unemployment rate steady at 5 per cent. The report is blunt that this benign headline hides structural weakness. Young people still face unemployment near 12.6 per cent, informality and working poverty have returned to pre-pandemic levels, and real wages have not recovered the ground lost to inflation. With economic growth slowing to 3.2 per cent, the ILO frames 2025 as a test of whether labour markets are resilient or merely quiet.

Gilbert F. Houngbo, ILO Director-General: “As we celebrate the historically low global unemployment level, of 5 per cent, one may assume that this means that the labour market is thriving. But we live in a time of contradictions and challenges, where meaningful progress exists side by side with entrenched economic obstacles.”

The numbers

The counting angle

The report is, at heart, an argument about which number you watch. A 5 per cent unemployment rate counts only those actively searching for work, so it misses the discouraged, the underemployed and the informally employed who are working but not decently. The ILO’s broader jobs-gap measure, 402.4 million, and its informality and working-poverty shares are attempts to count what the headline leaves out. The gaps it flags are worst exactly where measurement is weakest: low-income countries, rural workers and young men drifting out of the labour force, groups that are hard to survey and easy to lose from the data.

Our read: The unemployment rate is the wrong scoreboard for SDG 8. When five in a hundred are jobless but three in five are informal and one in five is working poor, the decent-work deficit is a quality problem, not a quantity one. The metrics that would show it, informality and working poverty, are the ones with the thinnest data in the countries that need them most.

Watch & read

Figures are as reported by the ILO from its modelled estimates (November 2024). Shares such as informality and working poverty are the report’s own estimates and are rounded here.